The Drunkard s Walk How Randomness Rules Our Lives In Albert Einstein published a shocking explanation of Brownian Motion the random movement of particles likening it to the kind you would observe watching a drunkard stumbling down the road Th
In 1905, Albert Einstein published a shocking explanation of Brownian Motion, the random movement of particles, likening it to the kind you would observe watching a drunkard stumbling down the road The Drunkard s Walk became a powerful tool in understanding the purely random that, which by definition, has no specific pattern In his new book, Leonard Mlodinow examines tIn 1905, Albert Einstein published a shocking explanation of Brownian Motion, the random movement of particles, likening it to the kind you would observe watching a drunkard stumbling down the road The Drunkard s Walk became a powerful tool in understanding the purely random that, which by definition, has no specific pattern In his new book, Leonard Mlodinow examines the law of the Drunkard s Walk in relation to everyday human life, the way in which we are all continually pushed this way and that by a variety of random events that, together with our reactions to them, account for much of our particular path in life He reveals the nature of random processes in daily life, thereby altogether altering the way we perceive the events that happen around us.

The Drunkard's Walk:How Randomness Rules Our Lives BY Leonard Mlodinow 264 Leonard Mlodinow

Title: The Drunkard's Walk:How Randomness Rules Our Lives BY Leonard Mlodinow
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Published :20190921T00:26:17+00:00
Leonard Mlodinow is a physicist and author.Mlodinow was born in Chicago, Illinois, in 1959, of parents who were both Holocaust survivors His father, who spent than a year in the Buchenwald death camp, had been a leader in the Jewish resistance under Nazi rule in his hometown of Cz stochowa, Poland As a child, Mlodinow was interested in both mathematics and chemistry, and while in high school was tutored in organic chemistry by a professor from the University of Illinois.As recounted in his book, Feynman s Rainbow, his interest turned to physics during a semester he took off from college to spend on a kibbutz in Israel, during which he had little to do at night beside reading The Feynman Lectures on Physics, which was one of the few English books he found in the kibbutz library.While a doctoral student at the University of California, Berkeley, and on the faculty at Caltech, he developed with N Papanicolaou a new type of perturbation theory for eigenvalue problems in quantum mechanics Later, as an Alexander von Humboldt Fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Physics and Astrophysik in Munich, Germany, he did pioneering work with M Hillery on the quantum theory of dielectric media.Apart from his research and books on popular science, he also wrote the screenplay for the film Beyond the Horizon currently in production and has been a screenwriter for television series, including Star Trek The Next Generation and MacGyver He co authored with Matt Costello a children s chapter book series entitled The Kids of Einstein Elementary.Between 2008 and 2010, Mlodinow worked on a book with Stephen Hawking, entitled The Grand Design A step beyond Hawking s other titles, The Grand Design is said to explore both the question of the existence of the universe and the issue of why the laws of physics are what they are.Mlodinow currently teaches at Caltech and is in discussions about producing a book with the controversial spiritualist Deepak Chopra.
460 Replys to “The Drunkard's Walk:How Randomness Rules Our Lives”
The Drunkard’s Walk is a book about randomness, a topic that most people, unless they happen to be mathematicians or have a strange fascination with statistics, probably don’t think too much about. As a species, in fact, we generally prefer not to dwell on randomness, but rather to assume that we are in control of much more of our lives than we actually are. In this new book, physicist Leonard Mlodinow attempts to show why underestimating randomness is really not a good idea. He lays a found [...]
This is a very fun, entertaining book about the myriad ways in which random phenomena affect our lives. There is nothing really new here. As a physicist, I am already well familiar will all of the concepts introduced, concerning probability and statistics. But ohwhat a variety of fascinating applications!I love the story about the "Ask Marilyn" column in Parade Magazine. Marilyn vos Savant holds the record for the world's highest IQ. She discussed the famous "Monty Hall" problem, and got aggra [...]
Yes, I was an English major so, yes, I LOVE literature, but my statistics courses were my favorite courses ever. I can't claim to be an expert statistician since I haven't run a chisquare analysis in eons and since I can only remember the phrase "data set" but can't remember how to collect one (kidding), but COME ON! Some of Mlodinow's information is interesting, but much of his logic seems unfounded and certainly begs some sort of question (and often a rather basic one at that). I've only fini [...]
I hadn’t realised I had read this guy before, and remarkably recently. Euclid's Window The Story of Geometry from Parallel Lines to Hyperspace was a fascinating read and oddly enough, I was even reminded of it as I was reading this one and I still didn’t put two and two together (an appropriate enough metaphor for books on mathematics) until I was well over half way through. They are very similar books – presenting an entire field of mathematics to a nonmathematical audience from an histo [...]
Lots of people might think they can compute the odds that something will happen. For instance, If my favorite baseball team is playing an opponent with inferior stats I might be pretty sure my guys will wind place a small wager. But random chance  which is the rule rather than the exception  could trip me up. A soso batter on the other team might miraculously hit a grand slam home run! In this book Leonard Mlodinow explains how randomness affects our lives. For example, a publisher rejected G [...]
There is a lot that is disturbing in this book. Are we 'Masters of the Universe'? Not so much.The author discusses in a breezy, easy to understand conversational manner how randomness and chance are behind many human decisions which we believe to be either based on educated guesses or personal skills, as well as how luck functions far more than we know in how things turn out for us. Briefly, but entertaining all the while, the author discusses famous incidents which illuminate the psychology beh [...]
My mom carried a holy card of St. Jude with her at all times. St Jude is the patron saint of lost causes. This book suggests that lost causes and what the public commonly refers to failures may just have had bad luck. Mlodinow demonstrates a lot of what the world chalks up to superior skill or thorough preparation is actually due to randomness. Or as Ecclesiastics states, in perhaps less scientific but more concise terms: "I have seen something else under the sun: The race is not to the swift or [...]
Even better the second timeThis little book is just so good—not only does it give you just enough math to make you feel curious and satisfied, it tells a ripping good story about probability theory and statistics, providing along the way compelling portraits of the eccentric scientists and mathematicians who contributed to the fields. This time, I wanted to refresh my memory of all the thorny problems probability and statistics give us (we are really, really bad at intuiting probability, as [...]
Let's suppose you are on Let's Make a Deal with Monte Hall. There are three doors to choose from. Behind the doors are a goat, a can opener, and a new car. You want the new car. You pick door #3. Now Monte Hall says he will trade you door #3 for door #1. First he shows what's behind door #2: a goat. Now should you trade door #3 for door #1 in the hopes of getting a new car? Here are your three choices: (A) Trade because the odds are greater of getting a new car if you trade, (B) Don't trade beca [...]
Šīs grāmatas liktenis manā grāmatu plaukta nav apskaužams. Viņai nācās noskatīties, ka viena pēc otras tiek paņemtas citas grāmatas par matemātiku, izlasītas un atliktas atpakaļ. Taču viņai nācās gaidīt savu kārtu veselus sešus garus gadus.Mūsu dzīve ir pilna ar nejaušiem gadījumiem, varbūtībām un mazvarbūtīgām notikumu sērijām. Tai pat laikā cilvēka prāts absolūti nav piemērots tam, lai galvā analizētu varbūtības teorijas dažādus aspektus. Tā nav n [...]
গণিত সবসময় আমার কাছে একটা রসকষহীন অহংকারী একটি যন্ত্রের মত মনে হয়, যা প্রশ্ন করব কোন ভণিতা না করে সে ঠিক তার উত্তর দিবে। দুই আর দুইয়ে চার, তিন ফ্যাক্টোরিয়াল ছয়  ব্যাস এর অন্যথা হবার কোন উপায় নে [...]
The weirdest thing about reading this book was the following:I watched the movie "21" in which a team of college students under the tutelage of a greedy professor make tons of money in Las Vegas by counting cards while playing Black Jack. In one scene of the movie, probabilities are discussed and the professor brings up the scenario of the 3 doors on "Let's Make a Deal" and asks the class if it's better to stick with your first choice of doors AFTER the host reveals one of the doors behind which [...]
I'll admit it. I like books by Malcolm Gladwell and Dan Ariely. I liked Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything and Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me): Why We Justify Foolish Beliefs, Bad Decisions, and Hurtful Acts. I know many consider these books lightweight and pseudointellectual, and that a more incisive critical reader than I am would probably make mincemeat of them. But I find them entertaining and interesting, even if they don't always hold up to critical a [...]
I have a math background and an interest in the mind and enjoyed reading books like Predictably Irrational and Thinking, Fast and Slow. Given Mlodinow's reputation as a physicist, I expected a reasonably sophisticated presentation, albeit one that did not require a heavy math background. I was prepared for the book to be basic and probably start with the rudiments of probability, but the presentation is SO basic that the title term "drunkard's walk" does not even occur in the book until page 176 [...]
Despite the seemingly highly rated reviews this book has received, I suspect it is more of a case of this book was hard to read which means it must be good that accounts for its ratings rather than any credit to the author's writing.The Drunkard's walk, despite Mr. Mlodinow's attempts at following Mr. Gladwell's formula, does not succeed in copying Mr. Gladwell's easy to read voice as well. First of all, although the subtitle SAYS "how randomness rules our lives," I actually found the book to be [...]
Fascinating book It was interesting how many people I spoke to about this get very passionate about randomness. Many people think acknowledging randomness is denying God.The book is a bit chatty, and needs to focus a bit more on errors people make with statistics in their personal lives but Mlodinow hit on an essential concept.I liked this lesson: that successful people are lucky, but that lucky people are persistent, flexible, and brave.
You’re presented with three doors. Behind one door is a car and behind the other two doors are goats. Sound familiar? It is. You pick door number one. Instead of opening your choice, Monty opens door number two and reveals a goat. He then asks you if you wish to keep what’s behind your original choice (door one) or change your mind to door number three. If you think it makes no difference whether you switch or not and that your odds are 50/50 either way, you might be surprised at the answer [...]
So this was pretty good. I had it on my to read list for awhile so I may have built it up a bit too much in my mind before getting started though because I kept waiting for the book to "pick up" in some areas. Overall though good read, really enjoyable. A lot of these anecdotes have been used before though. I think he could have come up with a few more unique scenarios. Still it was fun. I have always thought the wine ratings were a bit suss anyway.
If we were all unfeeling iRobots (floor cleaners) who respond to the random encounters in our lives by simply changing direction then the premise of this book is justified, for we would all follow our individual drunkard's walks to whatever probabilistic future awaits us. (view spoiler)[However taking this a step further, Leonard Mlodinow suggests that much of how our lives transpire is happenstance, defined by a supreme law of probability that governs what we experience and perceive as humans. [...]
I confess to math envy. I can understand general concepts and ideas if they're presented in verbal form. Show me a page full of numbers and mathematical symbols and my brain freezes up like a sprinkler at the North Pole. That's why I find books like this one so helpful. Maybe it's not helpful, since I can finish a book like this and have no less arithmophobia than when I started, but at least I can wrap my head around the concept."The drunkard's walk" is a phrase that came into use in the 1930 [...]
I found this book fascinating. I knew I didn't understand statistics, but I didn't realize how little I understood about randomness and probability. The Monty Hall problem (aka "Let's make a deal", Ch. 3); the effect that naming a girl child "Florida" can have on the probability of having two girls (Bayesian theory, Ch. 6, p. 107); the errors that people consistently make on relative probabilities (see, e.g p. 3640). I especially liked the sections on how we tend to find patterns where there ar [...]
this book is great. it takes you through the history of how the statistics and probabilities we understand (or try to understand) today were first proven. It's amazing how probability is just simply not an intuitive thing for the human mind. be prepared for some anecdotes that will leave you scratching your head. Mlodinov examples of human biases are entertaining and thought provoking. Anyone who likes interesting factoids, data, or wants to understand the world better will find this a good read [...]
Overall I'll give it to Leonard Mlodinow for writing a math book that's surprisingly accessible to the general public. Well, maybe it's not exactly a math book, or even a statistics book. But there's a fair amount of each and he did a fine job with keeping it generally light and interesting. Mlodinow explains that there are basically two definitions of random, and they don't always go together (pp. 8485). The first is by Charles Sanders Peirce and basically states that a process or method is tr [...]
Ein richtig gutes Buch für alle die, die sich ein bisschen für Mathematik interessieren, aber in der Schule (so wie ich) spätestens bei der Integralrechnung ausgestiegen sind. Unterhaltsam und anschaulich wird einem vor Augen geführt, wie leicht man sich bei statistischen Fragen oder bei Wahrscheinlichkeiten täuschen oder auch  im wahrsten Sinne des Wortes  verrechnen kann. Manches wird ein bisschen aufdringlich wiederholt (ok, Lektoren und Weinexperten sind auch nur Menschen), und manche [...]
O livro mostra de forma bem clara e dinâmica como aspectos importantes das nossas vidas são influenciados por fatores totalmente aleatórios e, em geral, alheios a nossa percepção. Isso pode parecer um pouco estranho e assustador, mas isso porque, como o autor mostra logo no começo, nossas mentes não estão preparadas para lidar com fatores aleatórios, com cálculos de probabilidades.Ou análise sensorial de vinhos.Isso porque nossas mentes funcionam com base em padrões. Queremos enxerga [...]
Questo è un libro potenzialmente molto interessante ma ho faticato non poco nei numerosi passaggi in cui l'autore affronta le varie casistiche da un punto di vista strettamente matematico e probabilistico. Ho apprezzato molto gli approfondimenti storici di vari fisici e matematici (per citarne alcuni: Cardano, Pascal, Newton), ma ritengo che La passeggiata dell'ubriaco richieda una consistente dose di concentrazione e un minimo interesse per il calcolo matematico e io purtroppo manco soprattutt [...]
A great little book about statistics (my college minor), written by a professor of physics (my major field of study).I got my minor 11 years ago and haven't used statistics since. I've been aiming to take it back up again. maybe even do a career switch to data science (sometime down the road, at least two textbooks and a few online courses away  not to mention that I don't know of any data science openings in my city and I love my current house, and so does my husband). I figured that plunging [...]
This is an enjoyable synopsis of basic principles of probability and statistics. Lest that sound like an oxymoron, Mlodinow really does manage to be entertaining while covering such topics as Pascal's triangle, normal distributions, standard deviations, Chi square analysis, Bayesian analysis, and type I and type II statistical errors. He weaves in thoughtprovoking questions and injects interesting anecdotes about the mathematicians who came up with these ideas. If you are a mathematician, you w [...]
A very good and accessible introduction to probability and randomness. Most people don't appreciate the fact that most of what we see every day is the product of chance. Social scientists are, ironically, sometimes more blind to this fact than others, because we are trained to hunt for patterns, and we therefore tend to find them even if they aren't there. (For anyone who does statistics, one way of thinking about this is that the typical social scientist routinely underestimates the magnitude o [...]
This was far froma random walk through the history and application of statistics and probability to ebryday life, although the typos in the last chapters of the kindle version might support the opposite conclusion. Although many of the topics are familiar to late high school/early university maths courses, the history, anecdotal illustrations and examples are woven together to build an enjoyable story of what is generally considered to be a dry topic. Most of the examples are not heavy on the ma [...]